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EB5 Status

How is uncertainty handled in EB-5 processing time estimates?

EB5Status reports processing times as ranges rather than single-point estimates. When USCIS publishes a processing time range (e.g., 11.5 to 15 months for I-526E), the lower bound represents the 50th percentile (half of cases decided faster) and the upper bound represents the 93rd percentile.

For derived estimates (such as projected total timeline from filing to green card), EB5Status discloses the calculation methodology and marks the result with a Gray (Derived) or Yellow (Estimated) trust tier. These estimates carry greater uncertainty than official data and should be treated as indicative ranges rather than guarantees.

The site does not publish single-point forecasts for backlog clearance dates or future visa bulletin movement, as these depend on variables (filing volumes, USCIS staffing, congressional action) that are inherently unpredictable.

Derived|USCIS Processing Times methodology; EB5Status analysis

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