India EB-5 Backlog: A Mid-2026 Deep Dive

India's unreserved EB-5 Final Action Date has been frozen at May 1, 2022 for six consecutive monthly bulletins. The set-aside categories are Current. The Section H warning at the back of the June 2026 bulletin says July may break the pattern. That is the headline. The math underneath the headline is what determines how long an India-born investor actually waits. This article walks through the per-country cap math, current pending I-526E inventory, projected adjudication pace, and the realistic distribution of outcomes for India-chargeable EB-5 cases through 2027. Gray trust tier on the projections. Blue tier on the source data. ## The current numbers As of the June 2026 Visa Bulletin (Blue tier): - India Unreserved Final Action Date: May 1, 2022 (frozen since January 2026, six bulletins) - India Unreserved Filing Date: May 1, 2024 (frozen since February 2026) - India Rural, HUA, Infrastructure: Current - Section H warning: India...